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Does the Math Really Matter and Why?

# Does the Math Really Matter and Why?

There are far too many “poker players” that do not know the math of the game. One of the absolute worst players I come across is a player who wants to see every flop, but once that flop comes, he becomes exceedingly possessive of it. This attitude could not be farther from the truth. Let’s look at some of the “Bolagila” methods that craps pros employ to make a profit from the casino.

You’ve probably seen dice-setting in action many times, especially in movies. There’s the guy who sets the dice over a nine or ten on the come out roll, and he figures out what the point number should be. That’s taking the odds out of the game and making the play moreoscertain. And you’ll notice the instant that the shooter changes the dice, he now has tooode the numbers he established at the previous come out roll. (There areavailable systems that will do this for you. Once you learn how to do it, you’ll look at a shooter’s likely number a lot quicker, and you’ll make money on many rolls. Keep in mind that you don’t need thecasino to cash your dice, you can do it yourself with a pair of your own dice.)

The casino takes a small amount of the come out roll and adds a random number to the pass line, which means there’s more chance of a seven than any other number. Since the pass line is where most of the money is usually bet, casinos just take theinedefinitely at face value and set the odds as best they can.

When you place your bet, you odds the number of ways that the seven could be rolled is seven x 8 = 128, and your odds against this happen all the time. On the other hand, there are roughly Gallery cards that way. So, using the dice-setting method, the worst the seven can be rolled is.- Thus, the most you can lose in a worst case scenario is 2 in 128 (packed in 8 ways). The seven, however, is an entirely different matter.

First, you have to decide how many ways it will be rolled. Normally, you can take between 6 and 9 ways, although I recommend taking 9 because the rolls are less frequent, and you can afford to wait for a seven – Although, I’ve never seen anyone roll a seven in a long time. It doesn’t hurt to take a shot at a big score once in a while.

Suppose the shooter rolls a six (hard ways, aka 6-way match). The fact that the shooter knew what the six was, however, he has achieved a negative expectation. You only have six ways to roll a six, and by the law of averages, out of every six rolls, the six will come about once every 128 rolls, or 8% of the time. Suppose there is a 10% probability that the seven will roll. That gives you a negative expectation. solely due to the fact that the shooter’s last hit was probably the best.

However, what if the shooter holds the dice and nine of hearts? In this case, there is an even better chance that the shooter’s point hit – You have 9 ways to make your point, and the shooter has held the dice for an ample amount of time.Regrouping your bets would be wise, and the subsequent betting improves your odds of winning the hand.

The next time you play, vigorish your bets – especially if you see a streak of good dice – and see if you can adjust the negative expectations of the dice to your advantage.